Lecture
Probability function | |
Distribution function | |
Designation | |
Options | |
Carrier | |
Probability function | |
Distribution function | |
Expected value | |
Median | |
Fashion | |
Dispersion | |
Asymmetry coefficient | |
Coefficient of kurtosis | |
Informational entropy | |
Generating function of moments | |
Characteristic function |
The Poisson distribution is a probability distribution of a discrete type, models a random variable representing the number of events that occurred in a fixed time, provided that these events occur with a certain fixed average intensity and independently of each other.
Poisson distribution plays a key role in queuing theory.
Choose a fixed number and define a discrete distribution defined by the following probability function:
Where
The fact that the random variable has a Poisson distribution with the parameter recorded: .
The generating Poisson distribution moment function has the form:
from where
For factorial distribution points, the general formula is valid:
Where
And since the moments and factorial moments are linearly related, it is often for the Poisson distribution that the factorial moments are investigated, from which, if necessary, ordinary moments can be derived.
Quite often in probability theory it is not the Poisson distribution itself that is considered, but a sequence of distributions that are asymptotically equal to it. More formally, consider a sequence of random variables. , taking integer values, such that for any done at .
The simplest example is the case when has a binomial distribution with probability of success in each of tests.
Consider a sequence of random variables that accept integer non-negative values. If a at and any fixed (Where - factor factor), then for all at done .
To begin with, we prove the general formula for calculating the probability of a specific value of a random variable appearing through factorial moments. Let for some all are known and at . Then
By changing the summation order, this expression can be converted to
Further, from the known formula we get that at the same expression degenerates into at .
Thus, it is proved that
According to the lemma and the conditions of the theorem, at .
QED
As an example of a non-trivial consequence of this theorem, for example, the asymptotic tendency to the distribution of the number of isolated edges (two-vertex connected components) in a random -vertex graph, where each of the edges is included in the graph with probability . [one]
The work of Poisson "Studies on the probability of sentences in criminal and civil cases" was published in 1837. [2] [3] Examples of other situations that can be modeled using this distribution: equipment breakdowns, the duration of repair work performed by a stably working employee, a printing error, the growth of a colony of bacteria in a Petri dish, defects in a long ribbon or chain, radiation counter pulses et al. [4]
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Probability theory. Mathematical Statistics and Stochastic Analysis
Terms: Probability theory. Mathematical Statistics and Stochastic Analysis